F.C. Tucker Company's Market Watch. The following article is compiled by Jim Litten, President of the F.C. Tucker Company.
Indianapolis - Residential real estate in central Indiana slowed in August as the peak buying season is coming to an end. Pended home sales in August were down 14.2 percent when compared to August 2006. Year-to-date pended home sales were down 6.1 percent when compared to the same time period in 2006, according to data compiled by F.C. Tucker Company.
Boone County was the only county to record an increase in pended sales from August 2006 with a 2.4 percent increase. Madison County showed the largest decrease in pended sales compared to last year, with a 25.7 percent decrease.
Year to date, Shelby County saw a 1.4 percent increase in pended activity, while Boone County experienced a nearly 1 percent increase. Hendricks County experienced the largest decrease in pended home sales with a 9.6 percent decrease for the year.
“In July we saw a slight upturn in activity and pended sales which made us optimistic for August. August’s numbers show we are still in a recovery time period and continue to experience a buyers’ market,” said H. James Litten, president of F.C. Tucker Company’s Residential Real Estate Services Division.
Pended single-family and condominium home sales
County
August 06
August 07
% Change
2006 YTD
2007 YTD
Boone
82
84
2.4%
608
613
0.8%
Hamilton
525
429
-18.3%
4,339
3,944
-9.1%
Hancock
95
74
-22.1%
732
724
-1.1%
Hendricks
223
198
-11.2%
1,893
1,711
-9.6%
Johnson
216
177
-18.1%
1,619
1,549
-4.3%
Madison
179
133
-25.7%
1,222
1,163
-4.8%
Marion
1,352
1,192
-11.8%
10,843
10,228
-5.7%
Morgan
88
83
705
656
-7.0%
Shelby
59
49
-16.9%
364
369
1.4%
TOTAL
2,819
2,419
-14.2%
22,325
20,957
-6.1%
According to the National Association of Realtors, the pended home sales index for the Midwest dropped 13.1 percent in July and is 15.8 percent below 2006.*
Available inventory in central Indiana continues to rise, up 6.3 percent from 2006. Four of the nine counties saw the inventory of available homes drop in August. Madison County experienced the largest drop with 10.9 percent less inventory than August 2006. Marion County saw the largest increase in available homes with an 11.2 percent increase from August 2006.
Active listings, August 2006 vs. August 2007
August
07
582
603
3.6%
3,074
3,314
7.8%
690
731
5.9%
1,483
1,568
5.7%
1,464
1,453
-0.8%
1,294
-10.9%
9,886
10,994
11.2%
726
681
-6.2%
426
400
19,784
21,038
6.3%
“As we enter fall, home buying activity will likely continue to slow and available inventory will drop as fewer home owners decide to put their homes on the market,” Litten said. “We anticipate the landscape to continue to level off and the return to a more equal market in 2008.”
Editor’s Note: All statistics were compiled by F.C. Tucker Company from a report drawn from MIBOR statistics on September 10, 2007.
*The pended home sales index is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.
Property Tax Update - Indiana
As you know, several groups are looking at alternatives to the current property tax system. Having been to 3 briefings and sitting on 2 Task Forces, I wanted to summarize what I have heard and/or observed. This admittedly will include my editorial comments.
While many groups are open minded and creative, there clearly are others who are advocating the status quo. I have heard on more than one occasion and from at least one legislator and others that many legislators are focused only on the homeowner and homestead credits since these homeowners represent the vast majority of those who vote. In other words, please the homeowner and I will be re-elected regardless of the impact on non-homeowners and the impact on residential and commercial real estate investors – and regardless of doing what is right/fair.
Another large group continues to focus on the status quo – mostly assuming government spending will continue to grow and expand. You most likely know the Governor has appointed a bi-partisan efficiency task force in an effort to curtail this “business as usual”/run away spending.
Without attempting to totally bore you, here are some interesting facts:
These dollars are sent back based upon budgets and assessed values, resulting in
monies being collected from one county being used to subsidize other counties.
These estimates fail to consider reducing the $6.2 billion or other alternative taxes such as:
In order to reduce dependency on property taxes, a replacement tax or taxes are
needed. Getting consensus on the trade-offs is difficult.
One goal would be to find balance among the first 3.
Whether consensus can be reached by any of these groups remains uncertain, but given the current fiasco, this is the best time to make systemic changes to an archaic system and to spread the costs among all users, not just property owners. Stay informed and let your legislators know how you feel and/or are affected. None stand for re-election until the May, 2008 primaries, but they need to know the concerns are real and are not going away – it is time to act.
September 7, 2007
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